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From 2024 to the end of the year, with the gradual development of the New Year's market, how will the market style be interpreted? Will there be a switch between large and small disks?"The market of technology stocks is supported by policies, and the policies frequently mention the self-reliance and self-improvement of science and technology, such as artificial intelligence industry, self-controllable, new energy technology, etc. This kind of concept plate is mainly the participation of hot money and new retail investors, focusing on themes and tracks. Long-term expectations are hard to be falsified in the short term. Industries such as artificial intelligence are indeed in a stage of rapid development. Once hot money has a money-making effect, retail investors are easy to chase after it and push the stock price up. " Zhao Xi told reporters.It is difficult for investors who focus on fundamentals to exert their fists and feet in this round of market, and investors who chase small-cap stocks with hot topics make Public Offering of Fund products far behind.

Small-cap style clearly outperforms.According to the research report released by SDIC Securities on December 8, if we want to treat this wave of "new year's market" with "innovation", it is necessary for the US dollar index to clearly turn from strong to weak and the fiscal expenditure to enter a clear expansion cycle. The pricing of risk preference turning to fundamentals may have to be further confirmed in the second quarter of next year (strong dollar turning to weak dollar+stimulus policy effectively reversing domestic demand). Looking back at history, after M1 rebounded from the bottom for two consecutive months, the market sector represented by consumption and pro-cyclical sectors will start pricing around fundamentals, which also means that if the growth rate of M1 continues to rebound in November, this extreme differentiation pricing model of large and small markets is expected to be gradually reversed.When will the market style switch?

The "seesaw" performance of blue-chip stocks and small-cap stocks is vividly interpreted in this round of market. Large-cap blue chips and core assets with stable operation and better fundamentals have obviously underperformed the small-cap sector of emerging technology sectors.[Robots are hot this year! 】What are the reasons why more resilient blue chips are not popular in the market? Many people in the industry interviewed by reporters believe that the macro-economy has not yet recovered significantly, and the uncertainty of the pace of monetary and fiscal policies next year has led to the fact that although the weighted blue-chip stocks have a low valuation advantage, they have not obtained the unanimous expectation of funds.